by admin • • Comments Off on Iran Cuts Unexpected Nuke Deal with Brazil and Turkey
The May 17 nuclear declaration between Iran, Brazil, and Turkey is a positive step but it does not resolve the Iranian nuclear crisis since Iran will continue enriching uranium on its own. The declaration might stall UN sanctions against Iran particularly if China or Russia supports it.
by admin • • Comments Off on Whiplash Strategy Backfires on Karzai and Imperils the Surge
The whiplash strategy that was intended to strengthen the Afghan government by pressuring Karzai to go after corruption has had the opposite effect. It has erased what remaining credibility Karzai possessed after last year’s election. Afghan consensus building may provide a better solution.
by admin • • Comments Off on The Taliban Moderates on Politics, Hardens on Intolerance
Taliban Supreme Leader Mullah Omar has indicated that neither he nor the Taliban aim to be involved in politics in the future. Before this can happen, however, the Taliban wants foreign troops out and the Afghan constitution “repaired”.
by admin • • Comments Off on The U.S. Looks to Contain Iran but Avoid Airstrikes
Competing political and economic interests towards Iran in the international community have weakened US resolve to contain Iran. Today, the focus on containing Iran is to stall Iran’s development of the bomb for as long as possible and then to limit Iran’s ability to make a lot of nuclear weapons later.
by admin • • Comments Off on Nuclear Summit Aims to Start Iran’s Containment
The April 2010 Nuclear Security Summit probably signals that President Obama has yielded to Iran’s ambition to acquire nuclear weapons and has shifted his strategy to contain Iran instead. However, this new version of the Containment strategy has a major flaw: it assumes that today’s current Middle East stability will remain intact indefinitely.
by admin • • Comments Off on Obama’s Nuclear Policy Gamble
President Obama knows that he cannot just abolish all US nuclear weapons. Such a policy would endanger America’s national security so long as other states have them. So how can Obama win Middle East support in his effort to keep isolating Iran? He is offering a concession to Arab leaders and others who feel as they do.
by admin • • Comments Off on Is an Iran With Nuclear Weapons a Red Line for America?
President Obama needs to decide if Iran’s attempt to acquire nuclear weapons is a “red line” for America. If it is not, then a softer policy vis-à-vis Iran is possible. If it is a red line, then even extreme measures should be considered.
The January and February breakthroughs in Afghanistan, Pakistan, and India have extended to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict in March. The Obama administration believes correctly that South Asia’s major crises are linked. It also may think that the Iranian nuclear crisis is linked to the Israeli-Palestinian crisis.
by admin • • Comments Off on Should Iran Get the Bomb?
If Iran gets the bomb, other Middle Eastern states such as Saudi Arabia and Turkey would likely respond by getting the bomb too. Venezuela and non-state militant groups could also acquire nuclear weapons with Iran’s assistance.
At least six theories are being floated on Mullah Baradar’s capture and/or the flood of recent insurgency defeats. Understanding Pakistan’s Afghan Taliban policy is critical to separating fact from fiction.